The odds/Largest company

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

100%unchanged over 7 daysResolved: Yes

Chance over time

85296Dec 31Jan 8Jan 15Jan 23Jan 30

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.