The odds/Largest company

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

100%unchanged over 7 daysResolved: Yes

Chance over time

85297Jan 21Feb 1Feb 11Feb 21Mar 3

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.