The odds/Largest company

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

AppleAAPL
1%▲ 1 pts in 7 daysResolves October 31, 2026

Chance over time

33261Sep 30Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.