Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
Chance over time
Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.
How it resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a MacBook with a touchscreen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a MacBook with a touchscreen by Apple will only count if it is explicitly branded a MacBook. For example, an iMac will not qualify to resolve this market to "Yes". A qualifying touchscreen must be a true screen; a touch bar will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.