The odds/Largest company

Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

TeslaTSLA
0%unchanged over 7 daysResolves October 31, 2026

Chance over time

22548Oct 1Oct 4Oct 7Oct 10Oct 13

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.