The odds/Tariffs

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

0%unchanged over 7 daysResolved: No

Chance over time

33976Jan 11Jan 16Jan 21Jan 26Jan 31

Implied probability in %, from polymarket's price. Dashed line: 50%.

How it resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Supreme Court issues an official ruling in the case Donald J. Trump, et al., v. V.O.S. Selections, Inc. by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An official ruling on the case is defined as any decision on the merits of the case issued by the Supreme Court, including but not limited to a written opinion, summary disposition, or per curiam opinion.

If the case is dismissed as improvidently granted, dismissed for mootness, vacated and remanded without a decision on the merits, withdrawn or settled, otherwise concluded without a final merits judgment, or there has been no qualifying ruling for this case by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.